Swimming is dangerous, part 2

Really, we mean it. Since we posted a warning just a few days ago, two more drownings have occurred in our little corner of the U.S. – Washington and Oregon.

Both young men. Both in rivers.

Does this suggest anything? Of course! Below are a few of IFO’s thoughts on rivers:

a. Rivers are cold – no matter how hot it is outside. Here in the PNW we have had 9oº weather. But this is early June! That is melted snow flowing down to the Columbia River or the Pacific Ocean.

b. Rivers have lots of water. The volumes of water moving past a single point are huge and powerful.

c. Rivers have deep, unseen currents – it looks so peaceful out there + it’s so hot here = disaster. We know about ocean currents, undertows, rip tides, etc., but rarely think that rivers have the same water dynamics operating.

d. River currents are running faster than it seems – the water dynamics include rate of flow. From that link: “Many that are new to our sport [canoeing] grossly underestimate the power of water.” Also, the site notes, water is powerful and water is heavy.

e. Water is Powerful – chart from the Canoe Cruisers website linked above:

“Water exerts a great deal of force on objects. The following chart is from River Rescue, 4th Edition – Les Bechdel & Slim Ray:”

The Force of Current
Current Velocity Average Total Force of Water (Foot Pounds)
MPH On Legs On Body On Swamped Boat
3 16.8 33.6 168.0
6 67.2 134.0 672.0
9 151.0 302.0 1512.0
12 269.0 538.0 2688.0

f. Rivers and young men are a dangerous mix. Please alert your sons, brothers, boy friends, colleagues, students. Thank you.

Oh, yes. What do we learn from these thoughts? Pay attention to underlying currents in the market – seasons, sentiment, trends before, during and after the time you decide to buy or sell.


About InvestingforOne

I've been investing in various assets by myself using a discount broker for many years. Over that time, I've developed some theories that others might find useful. Plus, there is more to investing than money. Time, talent, work, friends, family all go into developing a good and satisfactory strategy.
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